DEAL "NOT IMMINENT" — RUBIO: COULD COME "TODAY" — 1,500 SHIPS WAITING — OIL CRASHES: Iran FM: "reached conclusions on many issues" but not imminent — accuses US of shifting positions (CBS). Rubio: deal could come "today" — "solid thing on table" for Hormuz (Reuters). Pakistan mediator in Beijing — Xi pledges help. NYT: 1,500 ships stranded for months — will take weeks to clear. Oil crashes: Brent $98, WTI $91 — lowest in 2 weeks. IDF warns 10 Lebanon villages to evacuate. 3 killed in Lebanon. HRANA: 1,701 unchanged. US: 15 KIA, 538 wounded.

DEAL DETAILS — IRAN TO GIVE UP ENRICHED URANIUM — OIL PLUNGES — ISRAEL KILLS 11 IN LEBANON: AP: Iran would give up 441kg of 60%-enriched uranium in 60-day window — Russia offered to take it. Netanyahu-Trump agree deal must "eliminate nuclear danger." Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei hiding in undisclosed location — reached only by couriers — delaying responses (CBS/US intel). Israel kills 11 in Sir al-Gharbiyeh including child and 6 women (Guardian). Brent $98, WTI $91. Lebanon: 3,123+ killed.

TRUMP: DEAL "LARGELY NEGOTIATED" — MOU FOR PEACE — HAWKS REVOLT: Trump posts deal "largely negotiated" — 60-day ceasefire, Hormuz opens toll-free, Iran sells oil, nuclear talks (AP/Axios). Pompeo: "straight out of Obama playbook." White House: Pompeo should "shut his stupid mouth." Iran disputes — Fars says Hormuz stays under Iranian control. Pakistan PM hopes to host next talks. Oil falls to 2-week lows. Lebanon: 3,111+ killed.

ISRAEL KILLS 10 INCLUDING 6 PARAMEDICS — LEBANON 3,111+: Israeli strikes kill 10 in south Lebanon including child and 6 paramedics (Guardian/NYT). Bombardment "reduces buildings to craters." Soufan Center: ceasefire "in name only." Lebanon economy struggling under war and fuel crisis (Al Jazeera). HRANA: 1,701 unchanged. US: 15 KIA, 538 wounded. Oil: Brent ~$107.

IRAN REBUILDING MILITARY FASTER THAN EXPECTED — SUPREME LEADER: URANIUM STAYS — TRUMP-NETANYAHU DIVERGE: Iran restarted drone production during ceasefire (CNN/US intel). Mojtaba Khamenei: enriched uranium must NOT leave Iran — dealbreaker (Reuters). Trump-Netanyahu tense call — Netanyahu pushed strikes, Trump chose diplomacy (CNN). Iran reviewing US proposal — Pakistan army chief in Tehran. Hormuz Authority claims UAE waters near Fujairah. 3 supertankers exit with 6M barrels. Oil $109/bbl.

CRS: 42 US AIRCRAFT LOST — TRUMP: IRAN HAS "2-3 DAYS" — US SEIZES TANKER — ISRAEL KILLS 19 IN LEBANON: CRS report details 42 aircraft lost/damaged including 24 MQ-9 Reapers ($30M each), 1 F-15E, 1 A-10, 2 MC-130Js. Pentagon: $29B cost. Trump gives Iran "2-3 days" deadline — threatens "another big hit" (CNBC/Reuters). US seizes Iranian tanker in Indian Ocean (WSJ). Israel kills 19 in Lebanon — toll 3,061+. IDF: 21st soldier killed. Hezbollah destroys 2nd Merkava. Vance: "locked and loaded." Oil $111/bbl.

TRUMP WAS "HOUR AWAY" FROM NEW STRIKE — IRAN SUBMITS PEACE PROPOSAL — LEBANON CROSSES 3,000: Trump postponed planned strike — says Iran "begging for deal" (AP/Reuters). Iran demands: end to war, lift sanctions, reparations, troop withdrawal (Forbes/Reuters). Lebanon: 3,042 killed (AP). Treasury sanctions Amin Exchange under "Economic Fury" (Reuters). NATO "thinking" about Hormuz (AFP). Congress: 42 US aircraft lost. Oil ~$103. HRANA: 1,701 unchanged. US: 15 KIA, 538 wounded.

TRUMP EXTENDS CEASEFIRE INDEFINITELY — BLOCKADE REMAINS — IRAN SEIZES 2 SHIPS: Trump extends ceasefire "until such time as their leaders can come up with a unified proposal." Blockade remains — Iran FM calls it "act of war." Iran seizes 2 ships in Hormuz. CENTCOM: 29 ships turned back. 400 US wounded. Graham: blockade "could become global." US intel: Iran retains ~50% missiles, ~60% navy. Lebanon: 2,454 killed. Trump approval: 33%.

TRUMP: "SHOOT AND KILL" BOATS LAYING MINES — IRGC SEIZES 2 MORE SHIPS — ISRAEL "WAITING FOR GREEN LIGHT": Trump orders Navy to "shoot and kill any boat" laying mines in Hormuz. IRGC seizes 2 foreign vessels, fires on third. US seizes tanker Majestic X. CENTCOM: 31 ships turned back. Israel defense minister: "waiting for green light" to resume war. Senate kills 5th War Powers vote 46-51. Navy Secretary fired. Oil ~$103/barrel. Lebanon: 2,454 killed. No talks scheduled.

HEGSETH: BLOCKADE "GROWING AND GOING GLOBAL" — 3RD CARRIER — LEBANON CEASEFIRE EXTENDED 3 WEEKS: Hegseth says blockade will last "as long as it takes." 3rd carrier arrives. 34 ships turned back. Lebanon ceasefire extended 3 weeks — Hezbollah: "meaningless." Iran FM heading to Islamabad. Pentagon threatens suspending Spain from NATO. US used 1,000+ Tomahawks — threatens Taiwan readiness. Oil ~$107.

US AWAITS IRAN'S RESPONSE — Reuters: short-term memo, not comprehensive deal. Trump: deal "very possible" but bombing restarts if talks fail. IDF confirms Radwan commander kill. Iran denies S. Korean ship attack. Oil: Brent $97.47. Hormuz traffic "almost nonexistent."

RUBIO DECLARES EPIC FURY "OVER" — Trump pauses Project Freedom (Saudis refused base access). Axios: 1-page MOU near. Israel kills Radwan commander in Beirut. Oil crashes 11% to $97. 11+ killed in Lebanon. French ship attacked in Hormuz. Iran establishes Strait Authority.

UAE under attack 2nd day. USS Truxtun/Mason transit Hormuz under sustained Iranian barrage — neither struck. IMO: 20,000 seafarers stranded. Ghalibaf: US "not even started." Araghchi heads to Beijing. Oil $113/bbl.

"PROJECT FREEDOM" LAUNCHES — 2 US ships transit Hormuz under escort. Iran fires 4 missiles at UAE — FIRST attack since ceasefire. ADNOC tanker hit by drones. Hezbollah leader rejects ceasefire. Lebanon: 2,659+ killed.

TRUMP ANNOUNCES "PROJECT FREEDOM" — 15,000 troops, destroyers, 100+ aircraft for Hormuz escort. Reuters: several thousand Hezbollah fighters dead. Iran reviewing 14-point peace plan. Iran blockade draining $435M/day. 2,600+ killed in Lebanon.

ISRAEL KILLS 13 IN SOUTH LEBANON — dozens of intense strikes despite ceasefire. Indian LPG carrier transits Hormuz. NYT: Israeli entrenchment turning frustration into Hezbollah support. Lebanon: 2,536+ killed.

TRUMP DECLARES WAR "TERMINATED" — skirting War Powers deadline. Schumer: "That's bullshit." $8.6B arms sales bypass Congress. 5,000 troops pulled from Germany. CNN: 16 US bases damaged by Iran.

IRAN OFFERS HORMUZ-FOR-PEACE — ARAGHCHI MEETS PUTIN — $5B BASE DAMAGE: Iran proposes Hormuz reopening if US lifts blockade and ends war — nuclear talks postponed (AP). Araghchi meets Putin. Germany slams US: "no strategy." UN rejects Hormuz tolls. $5B damage to US bases revealed. US troops face food shortages. Israel kills 6 in Lebanon despite ceasefire. Brent $108.

CEASEFIRE EXPIRES — TRUMP WON'T EXTEND — TANKER SEIZED — TALKS IN LIMBO: Trump tells CNBC he does NOT want to extend ceasefire, military "raring to go." Navy SEALs board MT Tifani oil tanker (~2M barrels) near Sri Lanka. Vance's Pakistan departure delayed. Iran undecided on Round 2. Xi demands Hormuz open. IEA: "biggest energy crisis in history." Oil $95.75/bbl.

USS Spruance seizes Iranian cargo ship Touska — Marines searching 5,000 containers. Iran calls it piracy. Both sides planning Islamabad talks. Only 3 ships crossed Hormuz Monday.

IRAN RE-CLOSES HORMUZ: Iran reverses Hormuz opening after US refuses to lift blockade. IRGC gunboats fire on tanker 20 NM NE of Oman — no warning. Indian-flagged vessel also attacked. Ships reverse course, hundreds waiting. Only ~8 tankers passed in brief window. Oil rebounds. Israel: 1 soldier killed, 9 wounded in south Lebanon. IDF establishes "Yellow Line" demarcation.

IRAN OPENS HORMUZ — OIL CRASHES 13%: Iran FM declares Hormuz "completely open" for ceasefire duration. Oil plunges to ~$86/bbl. Trump bans Israel from bombing Lebanon: "PROHIBITED by the U.S.A." Progress on 3-page MOU — $20B cash-for-uranium deal. Trump: "very close to a deal." Lebanon: 2,294 killed. US blockade remains. Ceasefire expires Apr 21 — 4 days left.

Israel-Lebanon 10-day ceasefire starts. Senate kills War Powers resolution 47-52 (4th time). USS Ford breaks post-Vietnam deployment record (295 days). IEA: 6 weeks of jet fuel left. Hegseth: US "locked and loaded" on Iran power plants.

TRUMP DECLARES WAR "OVER" — SENDS MORE TROOPS: Trump says war is "over" on Fox — then sends 6,000 troops + USS George HW Bush. Blockade "completely halted" Iran trade — 9 ships turned back in 48 hrs. Iran threatens Red Sea expansion. Harvard: $1 trillion war. Lebanon: 2,124 killed.

BLOCKADE DAY 1: No enforcement incidents. Oil falls to $97.66/bbl on hopes of resumed talks. IMF warns of recession. Italy suspends Israel defense pact. France-UK Hormuz summit Friday. Israel-Lebanon direct talks in Washington.

TALKS COLLAPSE: After 21 hours of marathon negotiations in Islamabad, Vance departs with no deal. Iran says they were "inches away" but encountered "maximalism." Trump announces blockade of Iranian ports.

HISTORIC: VP Vance meets Iran's Ghalibaf face-to-face in Islamabad — highest-level US-Iran contact since 1979 Revolution. Pakistan mediating. Ceasefire brittle. Oil ~$98/bbl.

CEASEFIRE ANNOUNCED: Trump announces 2-week pause via Truth Social at 6:32 PM ET. Pakistan PM Sharif and Army Chief Munir mediated. 5,000+ killed across nearly a dozen countries.